Where Risk Ratings answer where does this country stand today?, Market Projections answer what do we think happens next? Each quarter, we translate sovereign risk into forward-looking projections for every covered country ETF.
Quarterly ETF Projections
Published every quarter alongside our ratings refresh, each projection sets out our outlook for a country ETF over the coming period, the drivers behind it, and how it connects to the country’s HMR rating and stance.
Scenario Analysis
For each country, we map base, bull, and bear scenarios with probability weightings, the political and economic events that would trigger each one, and what each would mean for the ETF. When conditions shift between quarters, we tell you which scenario is gaining ground.
Tier 2: Projections & Premium Research · $25/month
- Everything in Tier 1: full Risk Ratings, ETF stances, and the complete Weekly Brief
- Quarterly ETF projections
- Scenario analysis for every covered country
[Tier 2 payment button: added after Stripe is connected]
Projections and scenarios are probability-weighted research views, not price targets, forecasts of specific returns, or recommendations to buy or sell any security.
