Risk Ratings

The Haymarket Research (HMR) Sovereign Risk Rating scores each covered country from 0 to 100 across six dimensions. Each dimension is anchored to published, independently sourced indicators, and ratings are refreshed quarterly and on material events.

The six dimensions

DimensionWhat it captures
GovernanceGovernment effectiveness, rule of law, control of corruption, regulatory quality
FiscalPublic debt burden, debt-carrying capacity, budget balance
External BalanceCurrent account position and foreign-exchange reserve cover
GrowthForward economic growth and inflation
GeopoliticalRealised conflict and exposure to interstate coercion, war or chokepoint disruption
Social StabilityPolitical stability, absence of violence, income inequality

HMR Stance

Each covered country ETF carries a directional HMR Stance (Selective Accumulate, Neutral, or Reduce) linked directly to the sovereign rating. Stances are a research view, not a buy or sell recommendation or price target.

Sources

Our models are built in-house on publicly available data, including the IMF World Economic Outlook, the World Bank’s Worldwide Governance Indicators and World Development Indicators, the Institute for Economics & Peace Global Peace Index, and national statistics agencies.

Tier 1: Ratings & Scores · $9.99/month

  • Full HMR ratings for all 14 countries across 6 dimensions
  • HMR Stance for each country ETF
  • Country risk rankings dashboard
  • Full four-part Weekly Brief and rating change bulletins

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